Trading With Price and Volume

On any given major stock exchange, from Wall Streetwith a given stock's volume pattern to gain true
to Bombay or from London to Hong Kong, billions ofmastery. Baker Hughes, Inc. (BHI) typically will move in
shares are traded each day that represent trillions offorce with just a 20-25% higher volume spike while
dollars exchanged back and forth. This buying andsome of the lesser known small-cap stocks might
selling action represents volume, which is the result ofrequire 150% or more.
the exchange of stock or commodity between bothThe study of price and volume relationships also
buyer and seller. Volume, then, is the prime mover inreveals a condition known as "climatic volume" which
the price for a given stock or commodity in a givento a skilled trader can reveal a complete reversal in a
amount of time.given trend. After a stock has had strong advance or
If there is more buying than selling for a ABC stockdecline is where climatic volume can result (the
then what results is the rise in price for that stock.operative phrase is "after" a strong advance or
Likewise, if there is more selling then buying in ABCdecline).
stock then share price is likely to fall in value. ThisAfter an explosive move, usually the result of a
makes the study of volume a valuable indicator tovolume spike, climatic volume results when traders
determine if a stock is either in demand or likely tocome into the last stages of that advance of decline
increase in share value in the future.and price moves sharply at the last move of its trend.
Many aspiring stock traders practice a style of stockAt this point, all the buying and/or selling has resulted
trading popularly referred to as "momentum investing"and the move has exhausted itself and volume is then
where one attempts to identify stocks that areconsidered climatic when it exceeds two times the
fluctuating in a given price range for a length of timeaverage daily volume over the last ten days. At these
and are likely to have explosive moves to the upsideextreme volume levels price often goes almost
or downside out of those ranges. The confirmation forparabolic or straight up in price without a noticeable pull
those explosive moves are taking long positions at theback.
upper end of that price range or short positions at theMaster traders can spot these "Bump and Run The
lower end of that price range on greater than averageTop" or "Rising or Declining Wedge" patterns and use
volume.these climatic volume spikes to exit their positions and
Let me offer an example of the importance in volumethen use them to spot the trend reversal and get in at
by stating that volume is literally the fuel for stockthe beginning of a new trend transition.
values. Like the space shuttle when it is launched intoThe study of the relationship between price and
space the majority of fuel is spent to just get it intovolume can give both technical and systemic traders
orbit. This explosive force of energy to propel thethe confirmation that they need to get in on explosive
space shuttle into space or new heights requires anmoves and also serve as indicators as to when its
above average reserve of the fuel but then the spacetime to get out and, possibly, even spot a new trend in
shuttle can then use only a small portion of thetransition to exploit profitably. Volume should be
remaining fuel reserve to carry out the rest of itsconsidered as the most important precursor to price
mission. Volume is to stocks what rocket fuel is to themovement at the disposal of investors or traders and
space shuttle.can possibly lead to some huge gains to those who
A good average is a 150% of its normal volume but Itake the time to understand the relationship between
would also stress that its important to become familiarprice and volume.